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S’pore hikes 2024 outlook after topping third-quarter forecasts

SINGAPORE (AFP) Singapore said Friday its economy grew more than expected in the third quarter and raised its forecast for the year thanks to stronger demand from key trading partners.

The trade ministry said it saw expansion of “around 3.5 per cent” in 2024, above the upper end of the government’s previous estimate of 2.0-3.0 per cent.

The Asian city-state’s economic performance is often seen as a barometer of the global environment because of its heavy reliance on international trade.

A cargo ship is seen past gantry cranes at the Pasir Panjang port terminal in Singapore on November 22, 2024. Singapore on November 22 raised its economic growth forecast this year after the trade-reliant economy expanded better than expected in the third quarter on stronger demand from key trading partners. (Photo by Roslan RAHMAN and ROSLAN RAHMAN / AFP)

The ministry said the economy grew 5.4 per cent year-on-year in July-September, beating the preliminary estimate of 4.1 percent and economists’ forecasts of less than 4.0 per cent.

The reading brought average growth for the first nine months of the year to 3.8 per cent, prompting the ministry to raise the full-year outlook.

The upgrade was the second this year after officials in August bumped their forecast to 2.0-3.0 per cent from 1.0-3.0 per cent.

“Growth in the third quarter was primarily driven by the manufacturing, wholesale trade and finance and insurance sectors, which were bolstered in part by the upturn in the global electronics cycle,” the ministry said.

Manufacturing, a pillar of the economy, expanded 11.0 per cent year-on-year, reversing the 1.1 per cent contraction in the previous quarter.

A rush for all things linked to artificial intelligence drove up demand for computer chips, a key Singapore export.

“The electronics cluster grew robustly, supported by strong demand for smartphone and personal computer semiconductor chips, even though demand for automotive and industrial semiconductor chips remained weak,” the ministry said.

Major export markets such as the United States and the eurozone, as well as some regional economies, performed better than expected in the third quarter, according to the ministry.

The ministry, however, projected 2025 growth to come in at 1.0-3.0 per cent owing to increased global economic uncertainties, including “uncertainty over the policies of the incoming US administration, with the risks tilted to the downside”.

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