CNA – Vietnam’s exports in the first five months of this year fell 11.6 per cent from a year earlier to USD136.17 billion, government data showed yesterday, as weakened external demand weighs on its manufacturing-led economy.
Its industrial output in the January-May period fell two per cent from a year earlier, the General Statistics Office (GSO) said in a report, adding that average consumer prices in the period rose 3.55 per cent from a year earlier.
The latest data underlines a slowdown in economic growth for Vietnam, a key regional manufacturing centre, due largely to subdued global demand.
Imports in the first five months of this year fell 17.9 per cent from a year earlier to USD126.37 billion, resulting in a trade surplus of USD9.8 billion, the GSO said.
The sharp imports decline could indicate a further slowdown ahead in industrial production, as businesses reduce procurement of raw materials and equipment. Vietnam is key exporter of electronics, garments and textiles, footwear and wooden items, including for top global brands.
Deputy Prime Minister Le Minh Khai earlier in May said the economy would face unfavourable external conditions during 2023.
Vietnam is targetting growth of 6.5 per cent this year, slower than the expansion of 8.02 per cent in 2022. Vietnam’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth slowed to 3.3 per cent in the first quarter from expansion of 5.9 per cent in the fourth quarter of last year.
Oxford Economics yesterday said it had cut its forecast for Vietnam’s 2023 GDP growth to three per cent from 4.2 per cent.
“We think that easing global growth, including a fading recovery momentum in China, mean that the depressing outlook for Vietnam’s exports has further to run, casting clouds over the prospect of any rebound in GDP growth,” it said in a note.
Exports in smartphones, Vietnam’s largest export earner, fell 16 per cent in the January-May period to USD21.17 billion, the GSO said.
In May, its total exports fell 5.9 per cent from a year earlier, while imports were down 18.4 per cent, the GSO added.
