MAKKAH, SAUDI ARABIA (AFP) – “Business is back,” exclaims Abdullah Mekhlafi at the shop where he sells prayer mats in Islam’s holiest city, which is preparing for the biggest influx of Haj pilgrims since the coronavirus pandemic began.
Two years of drastic restrictions on the number of pilgrims who could perform the Haj emptied shops and hotels across the Saudi Arabian city of Makkah.
But business owners are hoping for a quick recovery as hundreds of thousands of pilgrims flock to the region this week.
“We had few customers (during the last two Haj seasons), but today business is back, thanks to God. It’s the same as before, and even better,” 30-year-old Mekhlafi told AFP.
One million people, including 850,000 from abroad, will be allowed at this year’s Haj, one of five pillars of Islam which all able-bodied Muslims with the means are required to perform at least once.
In 2019, about 2.5 million people took part in the rituals, which include circling the Kaabah at the Grand Mosque in Mecca, gathering at Mount Arafah and “stoning the devil” in Mina.
The following year, after the pandemic took hold, foreigners were barred and the total number of worshippers was capped at 10,000 to stop the Haj from turning into a global super-spreader.
That figure rose to 60,000 fully vaccinated Saudi citizens and residents in 2021.
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The Haj, which costs at least USD5,000 per person, and Umrah pilgrimages that occur at other times of year are usually a significant revenue earner for Saudi Arabia, especially its tourism sector.
In normal times, they generate about USD12 billion (EUR11.5 billion) annually, keeping the economy humming in Makkah.
The city has seen a construction boom in recent years that has brought shopping malls, apartment buildings and hotels – some offering spectacular views of the Kaabah at the centre of the Grand Mosque.
But these projects were starved for clients during the pandemic, meaning their owners were cheered by scenes already unfolding in Makkah on Monday, two days before the Haj officially begins.
White-robed pilgrims flocked to souvenir and barber shops across the city of two million.
And the main shopping centre near the Grand Mosque, where many hotels are located, was buzzing with pilgrims again, a far cry from a year ago when the area looked nearly abandoned.
Amin, a perfume shop owner, was bullish about his prospects, telling AFP his losses could be recovered this year.
“There is a huge difference between this year and past ones. This year we can see a lot of pilgrims who are bringing back the glory to the Grand Mosque,” he said.
“The losses were big, but now things are better.”
The changes in Makkah track the recent economic fortunes of Saudi Arabia.
During the pandemic, the kingdom faced a sharp downturn in oil prices due to a collapse in global demand, which triggered austerity measures including the tripling of a value added tax and cuts to civil servants’ allowances. Particularly after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine things seem to have changed.
In early May, Saudi Arabia reported its fastest economic growth rate in a decade, as a surging oil sector fuelled a 9.6 per cent rise in the first quarter over the same period of 2021.
“The impact of the losses during the last two years was significant, but we are starting to see a recovery on the business level, and this year’s (Haj) is good news,” said Operations Manager at the biggest hotel chain in Makkah Salem Ali Shahran.
“The current numbers have reached 40 per cent of their 2019 levels. We hope for bigger numbers in the coming years.”
Saudi Arabia’s GDP is expected to grow by 7.6 per cent in 2022, the International Monetary Fund said in April.
The world’s biggest oil exporter is trying to diversify its economy, a main pillar of the Vision 2030 reform agenda pushed by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.
Tourism is a crucial component of that plan, making a booming Haj all the more important.
The current goal is for Saudi Arabia to triple foreign tourism this year as pandemic restrictions ease, Tourism Minister Ahmed Al Khateeb told AFP in an interview last month.
Of the 100 million foreign and domestic tourists targetted for 2030, 30 million are expected to be making religious trips, largely to Makkah and Madinah.