MANILA (XINHUA) – The Philippines central bank opted yesterday to keep the bank’s target reverse repurchase at 6.50 per cent and the interest rates on the overnight deposit and lending facilities at six per cent and seven per cent, respectively.
In a press conference, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor Eli Remolona said the balance of risks to the inflation outlook still leans significantly toward the upside. “Key upside risks are associated with potential pressures emanating from higher transport charges, increased electricity rates, and higher oil prices,” he said, adding that the impact of a relatively weak global recovery and the government measures to mitigate the effects of El Nino weather conditions could reduce the central forecast.
At the same time, Remolona said the country’s medium-term growth prospects remain firm, with strong demand expected in the fourth quarter due to sustained consumer spending and improved labour market conditions.
“The BSP will also continue to monitor how firms and households are responding to tighter monetary policy conditions alongside evolving domestic and external economic conditions,” he said.
According to Remolona, the overall inflation outlook “remains largely unchanged”.
The latest risk-adjusted inflation forecast for 2024 has declined to 4.2 per cent from 4.4 per cent in the previous meeting in November. For 2025, the risk-adjusted inflation forecast is unchanged at 3.4 per cent.
Equally important, the BSP’s latest survey of external forecasters shows that inflation expectations have been broadly anchored, with a mean forecast that is within range for both 2024 and 2025.
With the sum of recent information, the monetary board continues to see the need to keep monetary policy settings sufficiently tight to allow inflation expectations to settle more firmly within the target range.
