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Impacts of climate change on shipping industries

Aqilah Rahman

Global seaborne trade has grown immensely in the last 25 years, now accounting for about 80 per cent of the annual total volume of global trade. With the growth of international shipping, the industry has become a major source of greenhouse gases, contributing to about 20 per cent of global emissions from transportation, according to a report by RTI International.

Titled Act Now or Pay Later, the report highlights that effects of climate change put the shipping infrastructure and operations at risk due to increasing sea levels, storms and inland flooding. Globally, the average annual storm damage to port is approximately USD3 billion.

The report noted that damages to port infrastructure could reach nearly USD18 billion by 2100, while storm-related port disruptions could add another USD7.5 billion each year.

In total, the future additional costs due to climate change would be almost equal to the container port sector’s total annual net earnings in 2019 which amounted to USD25 billion.

Given that ports play a major role in global supply chain networks, it is important that port operations run smoothly to ensure a smooth flow of the supply chain. Disruption in port operations in one location can affect other ports and the rest of the global supply chain.

The ports and maritime shipping networks are highly vulnerable to supply chain disruptions, as shown by the six-day blockage of the Suez Canal due to the Ever Given vessel which significantly disrupted the global maritime trade.

As climate change continues to accelerate, global sea levels are expected to rise and storms are expected to intensify. This will damage port infrastructure, disrupt port operations and cause incidents at sea.

According to the report, at least one-fifth of vessel losses from 2015 to 2019 were related to weather conditions. Many of the incidents took place in the South China, Indochina, Indonesia, and Philippines maritime region, partly due to its high levels of traffic and bad weather compared to other regions.

During storms, ships will have to adapt by re-routing which can lead to delays and increase in operating costs, depending on the containership and amount of fuel consumed. A containership which consumes 150 tonnes of fuel per day could cost about USD75,000 for each additional day at sea.

The report cited a recent analysis of port disruptions due to tropical cyclones from 2011 to 2019 which evaluated 141 incidents across 74 ports in 12 countries. The analysis found a median disruption of six days, and almost half of the incidents led to complete shutdown of port operations.

In addition to storms, flooding and drought can also indirectly impact the maritime sector through supply chain effects. Extreme heat can damage shipping vessels and port infrastructure, inflicting stress on cooling systems and metal port structures such as cranes and warehouses.

Also discussed in the report is the estimated cost of preventing port damage and disruptions, focussing on port elevation as the adaptation approach, which typically involves raising the port surfaces and infrastructure using fill materials and reconstructing facilities at a higher level.

Elevating all ports to protect against the rising sea level and store surge is projected to require an investment of up to USD176 billion by 2050. For 2100 projections, the costs are estimated to reach up to USD205 billion.

Assuming an 80-year lifespan and three per cent discount rate, this is equivalent to USD4 – 6.8 billion per year. For comparison, the report uses the Port of Los Angeles (California) with an area of 17.4km2 as an example, for which the adaptations costs would be equivalent to 31-44 per cent of the port’s net available revenue in 2020.

The report concluded that climate change is likely to cost billions in additional costs each year without the appropriate countermeasures. In addition, the actual cost is likely to be higher than estimated if future growth of the port industry and global trade volume is taken into account, along with cost estimates for “soft” adaptation measures such as port defence or re-routing.

The report highlights several steps the industry can take to transition to green shipping and reduce the impact of climate change, such as full decarbonisation by 2050 in line with the Paris Agreement as well as investing in zero-emission fuels and technology.

A number of leaders from the shipping industry have endorsed a Call to Action through the Getting to Zero Coalition, which aims for commercially viable deep sea zero-emission vessels by 2030.

China’s ZTE says probation ends after clash with Washington

BEIJING (AP) – ZTE Corp said yesterday a United States (US) judge has allowed a probation period to end after the telecom equipment maker was nearly destroyed in a clash with Washington over its dealings with Iran and North Korea.

In 2018, then-US President Donald Trump barred ZTE’s access to American components amid rising tension with Beijing over technology and security. The company had pleaded guilty the previous year to shipping equipment to Iran and North Korea in violation of US rules and agreed to pay a USD1.2 billion fine.

ZTE agreed to pay an additional USD1 billion, replace its executives and be scrutinised by US-appointed monitors to regain access to US technology.

The company sells smartphones and network equipment that use American processor chips and other technology.

The company said its probation ended as planned on Tuesday after a federal judge in Texas declined to take further action.

ZTE promised in a statement to make compliance with laws and regulations “the cornerstone of its strategic development”.

A visitor walks past a display from Chinese technology firm ZTE at the PT Expo in Beijing. PHOTO: AP

Japan lifts power outage warning, outlook fragile

TOKYO (AP) – Japan’s government lifted a warning of potential blackouts for the Tokyo region yesterday as weather and conservation efforts improved, but the supply outlook still appears fragile with several coal-fired plants offline.

The energy shortfall came as people used more power to keep warm on an unusually cold, snowy day on Tuesday and followed an earthquake last week that caused several coal-fired plants to temporarily stop generating electricity.

The Economy and Industry Ministry lifted the alert for potential blackouts late yesterday morning as sunny weather allowed solar power generation to resume. The ministry, however, called for continuing conservation efforts because some coal-fired plants will remain offline for up to another few months.

While Japan aims to reach carbon neutrality in 2050, it still relies on fossil fuel. While Japan pushes to develop renewables, the government seeks to restart more nuclear power plants although the public’s safety concern runs high after the Fukushima disaster.

On March 16, a magnitude-7.4 earthquake off the northeastern coast killed four people, damaged buildings and caused power outages that peaked at two million homes in Tokyo and eight other areas.

Tokyo’s Haneda International Airport turned off some lighting and air conditioning in its terminals. Tokyo’s SkyTree tower cancelled its nighttime lights on Tuesday.

Tuesday’s power crunch was believed to be among the worst since the government conducted planned outages in the Tokyo area for 10 days after the Fukushima Daiichi meltdowns in 2011.

People wearing face masks to protect against the spread of the coronavirus walk on a street lined with restaurants in Tokyo. PHOTO: AP

Tornado rips through New Orleans and its suburbs, killing one

ARABI, LOUISIANA (AP) – A tornado tore through parts of New Orleans and its suburbs on Tuesday night, flipping cars, ripping roofs off homes and killing at least one person in an area of Louisiana pummeled by Hurricane Katrina 17 years ago.

Other tornadoes spawned by the same storm system had hit parts of Texas and Oklahoma on Monday, killing a woman north of Dallas and causing multiple injuries and widespread damage, before moving eastward.

Parts of St Bernard Parish, which borders New Orleans to the southeast, appeared to take the brunt of the weather’s fury, and that is where the fatality occurred. St Bernard Parish officials gave no details on how the person died; they said multiple other people were injured.

Rescue workers were searching through the suburban parish for more people in need of assistance, according to Sheriff Jimmy Pohlmann. St Bernard Parish President Guy McInnis said the tornado caused widespread damage throughout the parish.

New Orleans television stations broadcast live images of the storm as it barreled across the metropolitan area.

Residents stand among debris of their damaged homes after a tornado struck the area in Arabi. PHOTO: AP

The tornado appeared to start in a suburb and then move east across the Mississippi River into the Lower 9th Ward of New Orleans and parts of St Bernard Parish – both badly damaged by Katrina – before moving northeast.

Many residents also suffered damage just last year when Category 4 Hurricane Ida swept through. Stacey Mancuso’s family just completed repairs to their home in the suburb of Arabi after Ida ripped off the roof and caused extensive water damage. Then the tornado on Tuesday tore through their street. She huddled in the laundry room with her husband; two children, aged 16 and 11; and dogs as part of their new roof was lifted away by the wind.

“We’re alive. That’s what I can say at this point. We still have four walls and part of a roof. I consider myself lucky,” said Mancuso. Still, the twister was the third time they’ve had major weather damage since Katrina in 2005.

Settling Albania’s ‘hero’ police dogs into retirement

TIRANA (AFP) – After years of sniffing out illicit cash in Albanian airports, German shepherd Konti has a lot to look forward to in retirement. He will enjoy it by the side of his partner in fighting crime, his handler Ilir Balla.

The 10-year-old canine is lucky.

Unable to part ways with the dog, Balla officially adopted him following his retirement from the police force, vowing to take care of it “until the last days of his life”.

“The relationship with the animal is special for everyone but our attachment is different,” Balla told AFP, speaking at the Institute of Police Dog Training in the capital Tirana.

“We are a team and the bond between us is very strong, very special.”

The institute has over 80 dogs working with police, including German shepherds and Malinois.

Different dogs have different skills, from detecting drugs, weapons or banknotes.

Among the best-known is Brandi, a German shepherd who rose to prominence during the search-and-rescue efforts following an earthquake in Albania that killed around 50 people in late 2019.

Konti – who was pulled from the force due to his failing vision – still has an “exceptional nose”, said Balla. During the course of his career, he helped detect large volumes of undeclared cash at Tirana airport.

ABOVE & BELOW: Police dogs play in the breeding area at the Institute of Police Dogs Training in Tirana; and a dog trainer leads a police dog during their daily training. PHOTOS: AFP

Konti is one of nearly 20 dogs that have recently retired from a career with the Albanian police due to advancing age or performance issues.

Once retired, the dogs are officially open to adoption to the public, with prices ranging from EUR60 to EUR170 or sometimes even higher.

The meticulously trained dogs offer obvious advantages to prospective owners.

Saimir Hasmataj, looking for a retired police dog for his family, eventually adopted Osra. He chose Osra, who is already nine years old, because she had “quite the story” compared to the average dog, he said, having saved lives during the course of her duties.

But for many of the police officers who worked so closely with them over the years, leaving behind their trusted companions when they are retired is difficult.

Narcotics officer Dritan Zela does not have the option of taking home his partner Diksi because he does not have the space. But he will remember the 11-year-old German shepherd as an “excellent” partner who saved his life on multiple occasions.

One time, he recalled, Diksi threw himself on top of him when they came under fire.

“Diksi had a real instinct to protect me, which pushed him to face the worst,” he said, visibly moved at the memory.

But with age, his capacity to sniff out drugs waned, so he could not continue.

“I regret his departure, we have been together for years, we are like a family,” said the 51-year-old officer.

“I will miss him but wherever he is, I will go to visit him. They are all our heroes.”

Barty announces shock retirement from tennis

SYDNEY (AFP) – Top-ranked Ashleigh Barty stunned the tennis world yesterday by retiring from the sport aged just 25, saying she had fulfilled her dreams and was “spent physically”.

Barty dropped the bombshell weeks after becoming the first home Australian Open champion in 44 years, joining only a handful of players to win a Grand Slam on three different surfaces.

In an emotional social media video message with her close friend and former doubles partner Casey Dellacqua, the world number one said she was “so ready” to call it quits after achieving her life-time ambition of winning Wimbledon last year.

“Success for me is knowing that I’ve given absolutely everything, everything I can. I’m fulfilled, I’m happy and I know how much work it takes to bring the best out of yourself,” said the three-time Grand Slam winner.

“It’s just I don’t have that in me anymore. I don’t have the physical drive, the emotional want and kind of everything it takes to challenge yourself at the very top level anymore.

“I think I just know that I’m absolutely, I am spent. I just know physically I had nothing more to give and that for me is success.”

Ashleigh Barty celebrating her victory in the Australian Open tennis tournament. FILE PHOTO: AP

One of the most respected and popular players in women’s tennis, Barty also became the best, with her dizzying array of slices, pinpoint serving and seamless forehand typifying her all-round game.

Few athletes can boast such a varied sporting resume as the down-to-earth Australian.

Barty began playing tennis as a child in Brisbane and went on to win the junior Wimbledon title as a 15-year-old in 2011.

But the expectations that came with success took their toll and she made a shock decision three years later to ditch tennis for cricket, signing for Brisbane Heat in the inaugural Women’s Big Bash League. But the lure of tennis was never far away and she returned after a season out, breaking through for her maiden Grand Slam triumph at the French Open in 2019 and becoming Australia’s first women’s world number one since Evonne Goolagong Cawley 50 years ago.

Barty finally won a cherished Wimbledon crown last year before her Australian Open triumph at Melbourne Park in January, storming back from 5-1 down in the second set against American Danielle Collins to triumph 6-3, 7-6 (7/2).

“It’s something I’ve been thinking about for a long time,” she said of retirement.

“To be able to win Wimbledon, which was my dream, the one true dream that I wanted in tennis, that really changed my perspective. And I just had that gut feeling after Wimbledon and had spoken to my team quite a lot about it.

“And there was just a little part of me that wasn’t quite satisfied, wasn’t quite fulfilled. And then came the challenge of the Australian Open and I think that for me just feels like the most perfect way.”

Praise poured in for Barty as tennis took in the shock announcement.

The Women’s Tennis Association praised her as “an incredible ambassador for the sport”.

“For your love of the game thank you @ashbarty for the incredible mark you’ve left on-court, off-court and in our hearts,” the WTA said, while Tennis Australia added: “Forever a world number one role model.”

Some of the sport’s top names also paid tribute with fellow Grand Slam winner Simona Halep tweeting: “Ash, what can I say, you know I have tears right? My friend, I will miss you on tour.”

British star Andy Murray tweeted that he was happy for Barty but “gutted for tennis. What a player”.

Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison thanked her for “inspiring a country”.

Brunei records 1,006 new COVID cases

James Kon

Brunei Darussalam recorded 1,006 new COVID-19 cases yesterday, bringing the national tally of confirmed cases to 128,306. Of the new cases, 819 were from antigen rapid test (ART) results uploaded to the BruHealth app, while 187 were from 2,045 RT-PCR laboratory tests performed in the past 24 hours.

The country also recorded two COVID-19 fatalities. The cases were not categorised as deaths due to COVID-19.

Minister of Health Dato Seri Setia Dr Haji Mohd Isham bin Haji Jaafar shared the latest COVID-19 updates at a press conference yesterday.

In light of the fatalities, Dato Seri Setia Dr Haji Mohd Isham said, “On behalf of the Ministry of Health (MoH) and the people of Brunei Darussalam, I would like to express our deepest condolences to the cases’ families. May their families be given patience in their passing and may their souls receive blessings and be placed among the pious.”

The minister also revealed that there are nine cases in Category 4 while four cases are recorded in Category 5.

Minister of Health Dato Seri Setia Dr Haji Mohd Isham bin Haji Jaafar and Permanent Secretary at the MoH Haji Maswadi bin Haji Mohsin during the press conference yesterday. PHOTO: JAMES KON

This total represents five per cent of the treatment capacity of Categories 4 and 5 at the National Isolation Centre.

Meanwhile, he noted that 1,923 cases have recovered bringing the total number of recovered cases in Brunei Darussalam to 117,061 and total active cases to 11,046.

At present, the bed occupancy rate in isolation centres nationwide is 4.6 per cent with 155 active cases placed in isolation centres and hospitals. A total of 10,891 positive cases are undergoing home self-isolation.

As of March 22, 60.2 per cent of the total population has received three doses of the COVID-19 vaccine.

No violations were reported during the movement restrictions from midnight to 4am yesterday.

Permanent Secretary at the MoH Haji Maswadi bin Haji Mohsin was also present.

EU proposes aid package to help farmers weather Ukraine war

BRUSSELS (AP) – The European Union’s (EU) executive arm yesterday proposed an aid package of EUR500 million to help food producers in the 27-nation bloc weather the economic impact of the war in Ukraine.

With Russia and Ukraine providing about 30 per cent of the world’s wheat, the conflict between the neighbouring nations has led to higher food prices globally and already rising production costs.

Fertiliser prices had risen substantially before the war started last month. EU officials are worried the war will cause energy prices to surge and put farmers under more pressure by further impacting fertiliser costs.

The European Commission said the proposed aid would be distributed in national allocations.

The commission’s plan also would authorise EU countries to supplement the bloc’s support by up to 200 per cent through their own contributions, which could generate another EUR1 billion.

To increase agricultural production capacity within the EU, the commission proposed to temporarily allow the farming of any crops for food and feed purposes on fallow land, while maintaining greening payments for farmers at their full level.

A farmer in France with his cows. PHOTO: AP

“The EU is an agricultural superpower, and we will ensure that our farmers have the commission’s full support to respond to the global needs for food,” Agriculture Commissioner Janusz Wojciechowski said. “We will do this while working towards making our food supply chains more resilient and sustainable to future crisis.”

While the EU does not face an immediate food shortage, the region is a net importer of specific commodities, including feed crops from Ukraine. And European farmers are highly dependent on Russian fertilisers to grow their crops. “This vulnerability, together with high input costs, such as fertilisers and fossil energy, is causing production challenges for farmers and risks driving up food prices,” the commission said in its proposal.

The EUR500 million in aid would come from a 2022 budget reserve that was included in case of a major crisis in the agriculture sector. The European Parliament and the European Council, which comprises the leaders of EU members, need to agree to the transfer of money for the package to take effect.

Among other measures to help farmers, the commission proposed temporary state aid of up to EUR35,000 for companies in the agriculture and fisheries sectors.

In parallel, the commission said it is deeply concerned about the dire food situation in Ukraine’s besieged cities. The bloc has devised a support plan of EUR330 million to help the war-torn country, whose forthcoming harvest is under threat and food stocks endangered by Russia’s invasion.

“We will continue to provide humanitarian aid to alleviate the suffering of Ukrainians by securing their access to basic goods and services, notably food. At the same time, we need to avoid any export restrictions to keep a lid on food prices,” the commission’s Executive Vice President Valdis Dombrovskis, said.

Priceless paper

WARSAW, POLAND (AP) – Hoping to restore some normalcy after fleeing the war in Ukraine, thousands of refugees waited in long lines on Saturday in the Polish capital of Warsaw to get identification cards that will allow them to get on with their lives – at least for now.

Refugees started queuing by Warsaw’s National Stadium overnight to get the coveted PESEL identity cards that will allow them to work, live, go to school and get medical care or social benefits for the next 18 months.

Still, by mid-morning, many were told to come back another day, the demand was too high even though Polish authorities had simplified the process.

“We are looking for a job now,” said 30-year-old Kateryna Lohvyn, who was standing in the line with her mother, adding it took a bit of time to recover from the shock of the Russian invasion.

“We don’t yet know (what to do),” she added. “But we are thankful to the Poles. They fantastically welcome us.”

Maryna Liashuk said the warm welcome from Poland has made her feel at home already. If the situation worsens, Liashuk said she would like to stay permanently in Poland with her family. “If the war ends and if there is someplace to return to, we will do that. And if not, then we simply will remain here,” said Liashuk.

Ukrainian women pack away documents at a special application point at the National Stadium in Warsaw, Poland. PHOTOS: AP
Hundreds of refugees from Ukraine wait in line to apply for Polish ID numbers that will entitle them to work, free health care and education

Poland has so far taken in more than two million refugees from Ukraine – the bulk of more than 3.3 million people that the United Nations (UN) said have fled since Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24. Hundreds of thousands more have also streamed into Hungary, Slovakia, Moldova and Romania.

Most of the refugees fleeing Ukraine have been women and children, because men aged 18 to 60 are forbidden from leaving the country and have stayed to fight.

Polish authorities said more than 123,000 refugees have been given the ID numbers – including more than 1,000 each day in Warsaw – since the programme was launched last Wednesday.

Svetlana, a Ukrainian woman from Ivano-Frankivsk who has lived and worked in Poland for over 10 years, has had relatives come now to Poland.

She said receiving the Polish ID numbers will make a huge difference for everyone from Ukraine.

“This is really so important to us that we can officially look for work, send children to school and be active here,” Svetlana said. “It really changes the way we feel here.”

Refugees can receive one-time benefit of PLN300 (USD70) per person and a monthly benefit for each child under 18 of PLN500 (USD117). Those who find jobs will have to pay taxes just like Polish workers.

Pavlo Masechko, a 17-year-old from Novovolynsk in the Volyn region of western Ukraine, has been trying to rebuild his life in the southeastern Polish city of Rzeszow. Before the war, Masechko had plans to come to Poland to study when he finished high school, but he says being forced out of his country by war is something completely different.

“This is so stressful to leave your country in this moment like this,” said Masechko, who has joined a local school in Poland since arriving. Now, Masechko’s Ukrainian teacher is seeking to organise classes online that were suspended when Russia attacked.

“When the situation started, it was very difficult for me to focus on other things. But time passed and now the situation is more stable and stable in my head also,” he said. “I have started to focus again on other things in my life.”

Many of the refugees from Ukraine have since moved on to other countries in Europe, mostly to stay with friends and family. Some, however, have chosen to go back home even as the end of the conflict is nowhere in sight.

Among them was 41-year-old Viktoria, who was waiting on Saturday with her teenage daughter Alisa to board a train back to Zhitomyr in central Ukraine.

“For the last five days it has been quiet,” said Viktoria. “Our local authorities are good. They prepared everything for us there so we can go back to work, have normal life and children can have online education.”

Alisa said she is not afraid to return and wants to reunite with the rest of the family who are still in Ukraine.

“My relatives are there,” she said.

Man United hold talks with Erik ten Hag over manager’s job

LONDON (AFP) – Manchester United have held “positive” talks with Ajax coach Erik ten Hag (AP pic below) about the vacant manager’s job at Old Trafford, it was reported yesterday.

Ralf Rangnick has been in charge of the misfiring Premier League giants on an interim basis since Ole Gunnar Solskjaer was sacked last November after nearly three years in charge.

Sky Sports said the talks with Ten Hag had been “positive”, reporting that club chiefs were believed to be impressed by his vision. But it is understood to be too early to talk about favourites for the job.

Other names in the frame include Paris Saint-Germain boss Mauricio Pochettino, Sevilla manager Julen Lopetegui and Spain coach Luis Enrique.

Chelsea boss Thomas Tuchel was mentioned as a possible candidate due to the turmoil at the London club following sanctions imposed on Russian owner Roman Abramovich but he has reaffirmed his commitment to the Blues.

Ten Hag, who took over at Ajax in 2017, won the Dutch league title in 2019 and 2021 and his team are currently two points clear of PSV Eindhoven at the top of the table.

The 52-year-old’s contract at Ajax runs until 2023 but United have good links with the Dutch club, where former goalkeeper Edwin van der Sar is chief executive.

Whoever takes over at Old Trafford will have a major rebuilding job, with a clutch of senior players including Paul Pogba, Jesse Lingard and Edinson Cavani all out of contract at the end of the season.

The future of 37-year-old Cristiano Ronaldo, who rejoined United last August, has also been the subject of widespread speculation after the club’s disappointing season.