AP – China’s economy expanded at an annual rate of 4.6 per cent in the July-September quarter, the government said yesterday, in the latest evidence that recent efforts to rev up growth have yet to take hold.
The world’s second largest economy slowed from 4.7 per cent annual growth in the previous quarter and falling short of the official target of “about five per cent” growth for 2024, a figure that some analysts consider ambitious without more aggressive measures to spur consumer demand and spur a recovery in the ailing property sector.
The National Bureau of Statistics said that the economy was “generally stable with steady progress” even in the face of a “complicated and severe external environment” and complicated domestic economic development.
The economy has remained sluggish despite the lifting of COVID-19 restrictions at the end of 2022. Consumer confidence is low and the real estate market remains a drag on the economy.
Chinese policymakers have in recent weeks announced a wave of measures aimed at boosting the economy, including reducing mortgage rates for existing homes and allowing banks to lend more by reducing reserve requirements.
But Beijing has so far stopped short of unveiling major new stimulus plans that analysts and stock investors believe is needed to give the economy a major boost. China’s growth rate in the first three quarters of the year was 4.8 per cent. On a quarterly basis, the economy expanded 0.9 per cent in the quarter that ended in September, up from 0.7 per cent growth in the previous quarter.
For the first three quarters, China’s factory output rose 5.8 per cent, while retail sales expanded 3.3 per cent compared to the same period last year.
However, property investment sank 10.1 per cent and the value of new home sales plunged 22.7 per cent, underscoring weakness in the housing sector.
Earlier this week, China reported its September exports slowed sharply, rising just 2.4 per cent in dollar terms from a year earlier, down from 8.7 per cent year-on-year growth in August. Imports were also weak, growing just 0.3 per cent and missing estimates. “A boost from fiscal stimulus should help narrowly meet the annual growth target this year and support activity in the coming quarters, although this won’t stop growth from slowing again by the end of next year,” Zichun Huang of Capital Economics said in a statement.
Huang said that while retail sales and industrial output have improved, the housing market remains in the doldrums, with sales volumes still edging down and home prices continuing to drop.
Real estate measures announced on Thursday, such as increasing financing for approved housing projects, are “unlikely to drive a significant turnaround in the sector and broader economic activity,” she said.
