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Asian shares mostly gain, with Tokyo closed, as more tests for markets loom

BANGKOK (AP) — Asian shares were mostly higher in calm trading on Monday ahead of big reports this week on the state of the US economy.

Oil prices climbed and US futures were higher.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng edged 0.1 per cent higher, to 17,108.28 and the Shanghai Composite index slipped 0.1 per cent to 2,858.20.

Markets in Tokyo and Bangkok were closed for holidays.

In Seoul, the Kospi jumped 1.2 per cent to 2,618.30, as shares in Samsung Electronics gained 1.1 per cent, tracking advances in Big Tech companies late last week. Taiwan’s Taiex advanced 1.4 per cent, as computer chip giant Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co added 0.6 per cent and electronics maker Hon Hai Precision Electronics, also known as Foxconn, surged 4.5 per cent.

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.5 per cent to 7,813.70.

Last week started with a jolt, as markets gyrated under heavy selling triggered by concerns over whether the US economy may be slowing too quickly. Japanese stocks endured their worst percentage loss since 1987’s Black Monday. But it ended in calm after more big US companies joined the pile reporting better profit for the spring than analysts had expected.

“The recent run in stronger-than-expected US economic data has aided to push back against recession concerns, with rate expectations now suggesting that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may retain more flexibility in its policy easing process as compared to one that is being forced by higher economic risks,” Yeap Jun Rong of IG said in a commentary.

On Friday, the S&P 500 rose 0.5 per cent to close at 5,344.16, coming off its best day since 2022 and trimming its loss after the week’s wild ride to less than 0.1 per cent.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.1 per cent to 39,497.54, and the Nasdaq composite added 0.5 per cent to end at 16,745.30.

A currency trader passes by a screen showing the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI), top left, and the foreign exchange rate between U.S. dollar and South Korean won, top center, at the foreign exchange dealing room of the KEB Hana Bank headquarters in Seoul, South Korea, Monday, Aug. 12, 2024. PHOTO: AP

Aside from reports on inflation, this week will also bring updates on retail sales and unemployment.

The most recent jobs report raised hopes for the economy after the prior week’s frightened investors. Households at the lower end of the income spectrum have been struggling for a while to keep up with still-rising prices, but economists expect the report to show a return to growth after a stall in retail spending during June.

A worst-case scenario would be if Tuesday’s and Wednesday’s inflation reports show higher-than-expected rises in prices at the wholesale and consumer levels, while the week’s other reports show a sharp weakening of the economy.

The frenzy around AI allowed a handful of Big Tech stocks to drive the S&P 500 to dozens of all-time highs this year, even as high rates weighed on other areas of the market. But the group of stocks known as the “Magnificent Seven” lost momentum last month amid criticism investors got carried away and took their prices too high.

All of the Magnificent Seven rose Friday except for Nvidia, which slipped 0.2 per cent.

Worries remain about the strength of the US economy. They dragged Treasury yields lower Friday as investors looked for safer places for their money and expectations built for deeper cuts to rates coming from the Federal Reserve. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 3.94 per cent from 3.99 per cent late Thursday.

“Market pricing suggests that traders remain nervous about the steady-as-she-goes assessment of policy rates, and the volatility of last week perhaps serves as a warning that we could be only one or two bad prints away from further turmoil,” Benjamin Picton, a senior market strategist at Rabobank, said in a report.

In other dealings early Monday, US benchmark crude oil rebounded, gaining USD0.58 to USD77.44 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude, the international standard, rose USD0.44 to USD80.10 per barrel.

The US dollar rose to JPY147.25 from JPY146.63. The euro climbed to USD1.0923 from USD1.0919.

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