NEW YORK (AP) – Just a few years ago, virtual reality was poised to take over the world. After decades of near misses, the revolution finally seemed imminent, with slick consumer headsets about to hit the market and industries from gaming and entertainment to social media ready to hop on the bandwagon.
But the buzz over VR has faded to a whisper. At the CES 2019 tech show in Las Vegas, Facebook’s Oculus unit isn’t holding any glitzy press events, just closed-door demos for its upcoming Oculus Quest, a USD399 untethered headset due out in the spring. Other VR companies are similarly subdued. HTC announced two new headsets – one with only sketchy details – while Sony has some kiosks for its USD300 PlayStation VR set in the main hall.
It’s a world away from the scene a few years ago, when VR products from Samsung, Oculus, HTC and Sony seemed omnipresent and unstoppable at CES. These days, VR is mostly a niche product for gaming and business training, held back by expensive, clunky headsets, a paucity of interesting software and other technological shortcomings.
“VR hasn’t escaped the early adopter, gamer-oriented segment,” said Forrester analyst JP Gownder – himself an early adopter who chafed in 2016 at delays in shipping Facebook’s then-groundbreaking Oculus Rift system. Gownder said many existing VR setups are still too hard to use; even simpler mobile systems like Samsung’s Gear VR, he said, don’t offer “a clear reason for the average non-gamer to get involved.”
VR proponents are still dreaming big, although the challenges remain formidable. Shipments of VR headsets rose eight per cent in the third quarter compared to the previous year, to 1.9 million units, according to data research firm International Data Corp. – an uptick that followed four consecutive quarters of decline . Nearly a quarter of a million units of Facebook’s Oculus Go and Xiaomi’s Mi VR – the same stand-alone VR headset, sold under different names in different markets – shipped worldwide in the quarter, IDC said.
Those still aren’t huge numbers for a technology that seemed to hold such promise in 2012 when early demonstrations of the Oculus Rift wowed audiences – so much that Facebook acquired Oculus for USD2 billion two years later. Despite large sums ploughed into the field by Facebook, Sony, Samsung, Microsoft and Google, VR hasn’t yet made much of a dent in the real world.