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China’s consumer inflation pushes higher

BEIJING (AFP) – China’s consumer inflation rose in July to a two-year high, official data showed yesterday, with a surge in meat prices pushing up the cost of food.

Compared with other countries, consumer costs in the world’s second-biggest economy have not skyrocketted, largely spared the impact of a global surge in food prices after the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

China’s consumer price index (CPI), a key gauge of retail inflation, grew less than expected at 2.7 per cent from a year ago in July, National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data showed.

CPI rose slightly on-year “due to an increase in prices of meat, fresh vegetables and other food, as well as seasonal factors”, NBS Senior Statistician Dong Lijuan said in a statement.

Food prices were up 6.3 per cent on-year, with meat spiking 20.2 per cent in July, she added.

Prices of the staple meat rose in part because of the reluctance of some farmers to sell – ostensibly to maximise profits – and a pick-up in consumer demand, according to the NBS.

A customer shops for vegetable at a supermarket in Fuyang in China’s eastern Anhui province. PHOTO: AFP

While fuel prices were also higher than the same period last year, their growth rates have declined, Dong said.

“The headline rate has been lifted by fuel inflation and, more recently, a rebound in food inflation,” said senior China economist at Capital Economics Julian Evans-Pritchard in a recent report.

He added that a weak labour market “may further sap price pressures”, and that he expects inflation to fall later this year.

The producer price index (PPI) – measuring the cost of goods at the factory gate – rose 4.2 per cent in July, down from 6.1 per cent in June, official data showed yesterday.

This was lower than the expectation in a Bloomberg poll of analysts.

The NBS said this was influenced by a drop in international commodity prices such as crude oil and non-ferrous metals.

“The priority given to keeping factories open while restricting many consumer activities has meant that, domestically, lockdowns have been disinflationary,” Evans-Pritchard added in his earlier report.

“Unlike elsewhere, stimulus has targeted investment rather than household spending.”

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