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China retail sales up, industrial production slows in May

AFP – Chinese retail sales picked up in May but industrial production growth slowed, official data showed yesterday, suggesting the recovery in the world’s second-largest economy remains uneven.

Leaders have struggled to kickstart growth since an initial burst followed the end in late 2022 of stringent COVID-19 measures that had hammered businesses and consumer activity, while a property crisis and high unemployment has dented investor confidence.

In May, retail sales – a key measure of consumer spending – grew 3.7 per cent year-on-year, rebounding from April’s 2.3-per-cent increase, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

The figure was also higher than the three-per-cent increase predicted in a Bloomberg survey of analysts.

The data provided some hope that the country’s huge army of consumers were returning to high streets after years of uncertainty.

However, industrial production slowed, with May’s 5.6 per cent expansion well down from 6.7 per cent in April and short of the 6.2 per cent forecast in the Bloomberg survey.

The NBS characterised May’s performance as “generally stable”, adding that “the national economy continued to recover and improve”.

Recent weeks have seen some positive signs, with the International Monetary Fund last month revising upwards its 2024 economic growth forecast to five per cent, in line with Beijing’s official target.

But significant hurdles remain, with data released yesterday by the NBS showing that urban property prices across the country continued to slide in May.

A series of measures introduced recently by authorities to support the real estate sector have “not yet boosted the demand from home buyers”, President and Chief Economist at Pinpoint Asset Management Zhang Zhiwei said in a note.

An employee works on a production line at a car wheel rim factory in Qingzhou, in eastern China’a Shandong province. PHOTO: AFP
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