BANGKOK (AP) – Share prices were mixed in Asia yesterday after China reported its economy contracted by 2.6 per cent in the last quarter as virus shutdowns kept businesses closed and people at home.
United States (US) futures and oil prices edged higher.
Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 index added 0.5 per cent to 26,788.47. The Kospi in Seoul was up 0.2 per cent at 2,327.76 and shares also rose in India and Taiwan.
The Shanghai Composite index lost 0.8 per cent to 3,254.74. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 dropped 0.8 per cent to 6,596.90 and the Hang Seng in Hong Kong declined 1.9 per cent to 20,347.96.
Official data showed the Chinese economy shrank by 2.6 per cent compared with the January-March period’s already weak quarter-on-quarter rate of 1.4 per cent. Compared with a year earlier, which can hide recent fluctuations, growth slid to a weak 0.4 per cent from the earlier quarter’s 4.8 per cent.
Anti-virus controls shut down Shanghai, site of the world’s busiest port, and other manufacturing centres starting in late March, fuelling concerns global trade and manufacturing might be disrupted. Millions of families were confined to their homes, depressing consumer spending.
More outbreaks this week in China and elsewhere in Asia have raised worries that COVID-19 controls might be restored, on top of existing precautions.
On Thursday on Wall Street, the S&P 500 fell 0.3 per cent to 3,790.38. Nearly three out of every four stocks in the benchmark index finished in the red. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.5 per cent to 30,630.17. The Nasdaq rose less than 0.1 per cent, to 11,251.19.
Small-company stocks fell more than the broader market in another signal that investors are worried about economic growth. The Russell 2000 fell 1.1 per cent to 1,707.51.
Wall Street has been assessing the latest government reports showing that inflation remains hot and shows no signs of cooling, even as central banks try to loosen its grip on businesses and consumers by hiking interest rates.
Inflation and the Federal Reserve’s fight against it remain key concerns for investors.
Inflation at the wholesale level climbed 11.3 per cent in June compared with a year earlier. It is the latest painful reminder that inflation is running hot, following a report on Wednesday that showed prices at the consumer level were 9.1 per cent higher last month than a year earlier.
Pervasive inflation has been squeezing businesses and consumers for months and the Federal Reserve has moved aggressively to try to bring prices down by raising interest rates.
That has raised concerns that it could go too far and actually cause a recession.
But markets have been bracing for this for months, buying on dips and looking for silver linings.
“Within the gloom, buyers are attempting to seek for some pockets of optimism. Guidance for economic conditions from the major US banks point towards an impending slowdown, but it came with some downplaying of risks of a severe US recession with strength in consumer spending and labour market,” Jun Rong Yeap of IG said in a report.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury, which affects mortgage rates, was at 2.94 per cent yesterday. It remains lower than the two-year Treasury, which is at 3.12 per cent. That’s a relatively rare occurrence, and some investors believe it augurs a potential recession.
The Fed has already raised rates three times this year and traders are increasingly expecting a monster rate hike of a full percentage point at the central bank’s next meeting in two weeks.
Traders are betting on a 44 per cent chance of a full-point hike, up from zero a month ago, according to CME Group.
Investors will get a clearer picture in the coming weeks about how badly inflation is hurting companies. Several more banks are on deck to report earnings yesterday, including Citigroup and Wells Fargo, along with insurer UnitedHealth Group.
In other trading yesterday, US benchmark crude oil gained 24 cents to USD96.02 a barrel. It lost 52 cents to USD95.78 a barrel on Thursday.
Brent crude, the pricing basis for international trading, added USD 0.49 to USD99.59 a barrel.
The US dollar fell to JPY138.87 from JPY138.94. Rising US interest rates have continued to push the dollar higher against other major currencies in countries where rates have not risen or have lagged the hikes by the Fed.
The euro rose to USD1.0023 from USD1.0020.