US consumer borrowing fell for first time since 2011

WASHINGTON (AP) — United States (US) consumer borrowing fell in March for the first time in more than eight years, with the category covering credit cards dropping by the largest amount in over three decades, the Federal Reserve reported on Thursday.

The Fed’s report is the latest sign of how the coronavirus pandemic is disrupting the US economy.

Consumer borrowing declined by USD12 billion in March, the first time overall debt has fallen since August 2011, according to the central bank. The decline in percentage terms was 3.4 per cent.

Borrowing in the category that covers credit cards dropped by USD28.2 billion or 30.9 per cent, the biggest percentage decline since January 1989.

Borrowing in the category that covers auto loans and student loans was up USD16.1 billion or 6.2 per cent.

Changes in consumer credit are closely watched for signals about how willing households are to take on more debt to finance their spending, which accounts for 70 per cent of economic activity.

Economists believe that, given the millions of lost jobs and the steep drop in economic activity due to the efforts to contain the virus, there will be more weakness in consumer spending in coming months.

The overall economy shrank at an annual rate of 4.8 per cent in the first quarter, the biggest decline in a decade as the pandemic shutdowns began in the middle of March. Consumer spending fell at a rate of 7.6 per cent in the first quarter, the steepest decline since 1980.

Economists are forecasting an even worse outcome in the current quarter with the expectation that overall gross domestic product will drop by a record breaking 40 per cent.

The USD12 billion decline in consumer credit left the total at USD4.21 trillion. The Fed’s monthly consumer credit does not include home mortgages or any other loans secured with real estate such as home equity loans.