WASHINGTON (AFP) – The World Bank on Tuesday predicted a pick-up in economic growth for developing countries, spurred by falling oil prices and despite a slight slowdown in global engine China.
Developing countries’ growth in GDP – the broad measure of a country’s output of goods and services – was expected to hit an annual pace of 4.8 per cent in 2015, up from 4.4 per cent last year, and surge to 5.3 per cent in 2016, according to the bank’s latest forecasts.
“Following another disappointing year in 2014, developing countries should see an uptick in growth this year, boosted in part by soft oil prices, a stronger US economy, continued low global interest rates” and improvements in several large emerging-market economies, said the World Bank in a statement.
The update of its Global Economic Prospects report showed that momentum in the developing countries would like push growth in the global economy higher, to a moderate 3.0 per cent in 2015 from 2.6 per cent in 2014, despite persistent weakness in the eurozone and Japan.
For China, the leader of the emerging-market economies, “structural reforms, a gradual withdrawal of fiscal stimulus, and continued prudential measures to slow credit expansion will result in slowing growth to 6.9 per cent by 2017 from 7.4 per cent in 2014,” said the anti-poverty development bank.
The GDP of the world’s second-largest economy was projected to increase by 7.1 per cent this year and slow slightly to a rate of 7.0 per cent in 2016.
Another major emerging-market powerhouse, India, should be among the beneficiaries of the spectacular plunge in crude oil prices that have lost almost 60 per cent of their value since June.