WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Growth in US factory activity slowed more than expected in September even as hiring in the private sector accelerated, signs of an uneven expansion in the US economy.
The Institute for Supply Management said on Wednesday its index of national factory activity dropped to 56.6 last month, its lowest level since June, from 59.0 in August. Economists had forecast it would slide to just 58.5.
A gauge of new orders fell to 60.0 from 66.7.
Analysts have warned that US factories could feel a chill from soft demand in the global economy and from recent strength in the dollar, and the ISM data could be a harbinger.
Still, gauges of US manufacturing activity remain historically strong, with the ISM index still comfortably above the 50 mark that separates expansion from contraction – a sign the economy is still moving forward with strength.
Analysts believe US gross domestic product is growing much more quickly than its 2.2 per cent average over the last two years, and the data did little to knock that view.
“It still looks as though overall GDP growth in the third quarter was around 3.5 per cent,” said Paul Dales, an economist at Capital Economics in London.
US Treasury yields fell as data from the United States, Europe and Asia all showed factory activity faltering, while stocks extended losses and the dollar slipped.
The slowdown in US factory growth followed an August reading that was the strongest since March 2011, leading some analysts to downplay the significance. “Whether this month is a turning point is still to be seen,” said Pierre Ellis, an economist at Decision Economics in New York
A separate report from major payrolls processor ADP showed US private employers added 213,000 jobs in September, just above economists’ expectations.
“Job gains remain strong and steady,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, which co-developed the report.
The ADP figures come ahead of the government’s more comprehensive payrolls report due on Friday, which includes both public and private-sector employment. That report is expected to show the economy added 215,000 jobs last month.
A third report on Wednesday showed US construction spending unexpectedly fell in August, hit by weaker private spending outside the housing sector and a pullback in public investments.
The decline led forecasting firm Macroeconomic Advisers to trim its estimate of third-quarter GDP growth by three-tenths of a per centage point to a 3.0 per cent annual pace. Morgan Stanley cut its forecast to 3.1 per cent from 3.3 per cent.