BASED on the annual monsoon cycle, Brunei Darussalam will be transiting to Northeast Monsoon from December 2014 until March 2015.
Normally, during the first half of the monsoon (December and January), the country will experience unsettled weather conditions with occasional heavy showers and thundershowers especially in the afternoon and night.
The 30 years average rainfall (1979-2008) recorded at Meteorological Observation Station, Brunei International Airport for December and January were 354.4mm and 271.1mm, respectively.
The previous Northeast Monsoon indicated that the country experienced highly active weather conditions with 117 per cent and 300 per cent increased of rainfall for December 2013 and January 2014 against long-term average.
The prevailing regional weather conditions and in accordance to latest seasonal forecasts issued by the major world climate centres indicate that weak El Nino condition is likely to occur over the Asia-Pacific region during the remainder of 2014 through early 2015.
In relation to this, the country may experience slightly subdue weather activities during December 2014 until January 2015.
Nevertheless, risk of flash floods over the low-lying and flood prone areas, or occurrence of landslides are still expected in the upcoming Northeast Monsoon, especially during locally high rainfall intensity of more than two hours, and the situation can be worsened when heavy rain coinciding with high tide.
In view of this, the general public, motorists, and mariners are advised to be on alert and take necessary precautionary actions, especially in the event of prolong heavy rain and thunderstorms, to ensure safety and prevent occurrence of undesirable incidents.
The department will continue to monitor the weather conditions closely and will issue appropriate weather advisory and warning, as and when necessary, according to the Department’s Standard Operating Procedure.
The general public can contact the Duty Meteorological Forecaster at the Forecast Office, Weather Services Division, Brunei International Airport for the latest weather update through Weather Line 114 or 2345567, or visit the department’s website at www.met.gov.bn.